Financial Projection Artinya – 2 LIYA APRILIA () Eliza Feriinti () City Fatimah () Sebti Arvica () Ervin Nurdiansiah ()
3 Financial financial plans are intended to evaluate the company’s financial status method, including how much money is needed (suad Hunan 2006: 88).
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(1) Financial planning helps to manage the impact of various strategies at the company’s financial status, revenue and external funding levels. Unexpected problems, such as low sales forecasts in the market or reducing raw materials. By designing a financial plan, the manager is more familiar with the level of funds needed to change the minimum change in the company’s course, sales level or other factors.
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5 (3) Make a financial plan to help you understand the unique exchange between the investment plan and the financial plan. For example, by designing a financial plan, financial managers can understand the exchange between stocks sufficient to meet consumer demand by financial demands for finance. (Fabozzi and Peterson 2003: 938).
1. Simple financial financial planning is mainly one of the work. The main purpose is to maintain the company’s liquidity. Frequently used tools are to edit the cash budget. It is estimated that the cash budget is estimated to be cash and cash during a certain period (suad Hunan 2006: 93)
If two long -lasting financial planning companies have adopted certain strategic decisions (for example, investing in large capital assets for specific funding decisions), they must know what the company’s financial position should be in the future. In debt financial plan, using the company’s specific financial model can make financial decisions evaluate financial decisions (suad Hunan 2006: 96). Some of the most frequently used financial models include a sales percentage model.
Knowing the interaction of financial planning should be able to show the relationship between the investment plan and the financing.
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Determine the goal strategy developed by General to achieve the geographical area of the company and business without determining the goal of the operation of the operation.
10 Operating Planning Function: Provides more detailed guidelines to help you achieve the company’s goals. Most companies use operating plans for five years. Each operation plan describes the goals of sales and profits if people are responsible for each specific function, if the work should be terminated.
The implementation of the project for financial statements has implemented the procedure to adjust the plan to manage the compensation system based on the performance of the source source evaluation.
The accuracy of prediction is difficult to maintain, so the plan can provide a completely uncertain advantage in the future. Forecasts can be interpreted as evaluating the conditions that will appear in the future. Evaluate the meaning of determining what will happen in the future. The foundation for evaluating future conditions is that you can use past data, and the data from the past will be better and the factors that affect the future will be better.
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This uncertainty must be calculated carefully. In fact, the future uncertainty includes things: economic uncertainty about political anxiety of social and cultural anxiety
Objective predictions are based on existing data and information and analyzed using specific technologies or methods. The data used is usually past data for multiple methods. Subjective predictions are based on the feelings or emotions of the edited content. In this case, the views and past experiences of those who assemble them will determine the outcome of prediction.
Quantitative predictions are based on past quantitative data (numbers). Qualitative predictions are based on qualitative data, and in general, this prediction is based on previous survey results. 3 Intermediate -Trm predictions are based on one to three years. Long -term -term predictions are predicted based on more than three years.
1. Data collection 2. Process Data 3. Determine the method of artist 4
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1. If the market develops faster outside the company, the company will not be able to meet market demand. 2. Customers choose products from competitors and lose market share
Depreciation and profit storage costs, profit capital, and free cash flows reduce and reduce stock prices. “Accurate sales forecasts are very important to the company’s interests.”
23 AFN official and capital requirements, the average company also provides excerpts on profit and loss and balance. However, if the ratio is expected to be maintained constant, you can use the following formula to predict financial demands.
24 Note: AFN = Additional Funds (Additional Funds) A * = Assets S0 = It shows that the ratio of assets needed for sales requires dollar growth. In real estate per $ 1 in sales. For Microdrive, * / S0 = $ 2000 / $ 3000 = 0, 6667.
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25 L * = Voluntarily increased debt. L *is generally smaller than the total responsibility (L). Voluntary debt still requires business debt and costs, but not bank loans and bonds. L * / s0 = debt, which voluntarily increased voluntarily, has increased to 1 USD sales voluntarily. L * / S0 = ($ 60 + $ 140) / $ 3000 = 0, 6667 microforms will generate about 0, 67 or 7 voluntary centr funds when sales of $ 1 increases. S1 = Total sales designed next year. S0 symbolizes sales last year, and for Microdrive, S1 = $ 330 million
26 s = Sales change = S1 -S0 = $ 330 million -$ 30 million = $ 300 million for microdab. In the case of M = Microdrive, $ 1, M = 114 USD / $ 3000 = 0, 0380 profit margin or profit. Thus, Microdriva gained a three or eight cents in each dollar. RR = Relationship is the ratio of net profit. For Microprodrives, RR = 56 / $ 114 = 0, 491. RR is also shown in 1. The ratio and payment ratio are the same as 1, 0 = 100%.
The historical ratio of analysis. Report on profit loss 2 stage. Balance prediction of step 3. Add additional costs for step 4.
• The sales percentage method assumes the cost determined by the sales ratio of a specific year. • Table 14-1: Microdrive Historical Ratio Inc. Actual historical industry 2003. Average sales price 87, 6% 87, 2% 87, 4% 87, 1% depreciation for net plants and equipment 10, 3 10, 0 10, 2 10, 2 cash sales 0, 5 0, 3 0, 4 1, account search 11, 1 12, 5 11, 8 10, 0 Sales 14, 6 20, 5 17, 5 11, 1 Neto Plant and Sales Equipment 30, 5 33, 331, 9 33, 3 Sales 1, 1, 0 1, 5 1, Calculation for calculations 4, 6 4, 7 4, 6 2, 0
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• The last column shows the total number of similar industries. Micordrive has increased cost and sales ratio, but is still higher than the average industry. • The table above also shows the rate of depreciation of net plants and equipment. Depreciation depends on asset -based, so it is more reasonable to evaluate depreciation at the ratio of net plants and equipment than sales.
• The company has acquired factories and equipment to establish great capacity to build economic capabilities. • Examples: Economically, it is better to build a factory in Saturn Tennessee with 320,000 car capacity than GM builds a factory with estimated capacity. • Some items of the short circuit / obligations of the balance table are expected to increase voluntarily with voluntary sellers.
• Forecasting statements for income statements are closely related to balance of balance. For example, ‘depreciation’ of profit loss depends on the net plant and equipment, which are the items of the balance table. Net profit of the previous year and the company’s Ramalis and dividend distribution policy.
• Table 14-2: Projection and Real Report on Profit Loss -Microdrive Inc. (Millions of dollars except data per share). Actual prediction of 2005 2005. , 877.6. Depreciation cost 100.0 10% x 2005 net plant 110.0 4. Total operating expenses 2, 716.2 $ 2, 987.6. Import (EBT) 195.8 $ 219.6 8. Tax (40%) 78.3 87.8 9. No dividend $ 117.5 $ 131, 8 10. Prestigious Dividend 4.0 Division X 2004 Priority 4.0
